12 June:According to the India Meteorological Department’s (IMD) latest analysis, conditions are favourable for further advance of monsoon into some more parts of Madhya Pradesh & Uttar Pradesh during next 2-3 days.
The latest analysis of global Numerical Weather Prediction models indicates possibility of advance of monsoon well ahead of its normal schedule over northwest India including Delhi.
This year monsoon set in over south Andaman Sea on 10th May, about 5 days earlier than the normal date. It set in over Kerala on 31st May, very near to its normal date (1st June). It advanced further rapidly and covered parts of south peninsula and entire northeastern States by 2nd June. It reached Mumbai on 7th June (3 days earlier than normal date of 10th June for the city). It maintained its rapid northward progression along the west coast and reached southern parts of Gujarat on 10th June (5 days ahead of the normal date). Northward advance of monsoon over east and central India has been near its normal time. As on date, the 12th June, it has covered West Bengal & Sikkim, Orissa, Jharkhand, Bihar, Chhattisgarh and parts of east Uttar Pradesh & Madhya Pradesh. In the peninsula, it has covered entire Andhra Pradesh, Karnataka and Maharashtra.
As on today, the 12th June 2008, Northern Limit of Monsoon(NLM) passes through Lat 23°N/Long 60°E, Lat 23°N/Long 65°E, Okha, Rajkot, Surat, Nasik, Hoshangabad, Satna, Allahabad, Gorakhpur and Nautanwa.
Advance of this year’s monsoon is much more smooth and rapid as compared to that of last year (2007), as in the last year, it was marked by a hiatus of about one week over south peninsula.
Rainfall during this year’s monsoon (till 11th June) has been very good and well distributed as compared to last year. Out of the 36 meteorological sub-divisions, 30 have received normal/excess rainfall this year compared to only 13 last year. The comparative rainfall statement for 2007 & 2008 upto 11th June are given below: