31 July : According to the India Meteorology Department the current meteorological analysis and weather forecast for next week is as follows:Two synoptic scale weather systems (low pressure area/ cyclonic circulation) are likely to form over west-central and adjoining northwest Bay of Bengal and move in a west-northwesterly direction.
Good rainfall activity is likely over Central India during next 3 days.Peninsular India particularly Andhra Pradesh and Maharashtra are likely to receive widespread rainfall with heavy to very heavy falls during 2-5 August.
Northwest India will experience fairly widespread rainfall activity with isolated heavy to very heavy falls during next 2-3 days
West coast and northeastern states are likely to receive near normal rainfall. However, rainfall will be below normal over East India.
During this week( 24-30 July), monsoon trough gradually shifted southwards with eastern end dipping into Bay of Bengal on 26th. Consequently, a low pressure area formed over northwest and adjoining west-central Bay of Bengal on 27th. It moved west-northwestwards across Orissa, south Chhattisgarh and Vidarbha during 27-30th. Under its influence, monsoon revived over peninsular India after a long dry spell. Many parts of Kerala, Karnataka, Andhra Pradesh and Maharashtra experienced active to vigorous monsoon conditions. Other parts of country also received good rainfall activity.
Seasonal Rainfall Scenario (1st June to 30th July)
The cumulative seasonal rainfall for the country as a whole remained below the Long Period Average (LPA) value by 2 %. However, rainfall distribution over the four broad homogeneous regions of India (Table-1) clearly shows improvement in the rainfall scenario over central & south peninsular India.